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44958. concerned - 11/5/2012 9:46:29 PM 0bama's persoanl influences are guaranteed to be far more cautionary than anybody who votes Republican, given equal exposure. 44959. concerned - 11/5/2012 9:51:03 PM Here we you all preparing to vote for VP Gaffalufagus and you Lefties were all over Sarah Palin for being sooooo stupid that had to make her gaffes up for her? How do you sleep at night? 44960. concerned - 11/5/2012 9:51:33 PM Here you all are preparing to vote for VP Gaffalufagus and you Lefties were all over Sarah Palin for being sooooo stupid that had to make her gaffes up for her? How do you sleep at night?
44961. concerned - 11/5/2012 10:01:11 PM Even Guatemala has surpassed the US now. Guatemala requires photo ID of everybody before they are allowed to vote.
44962. robertjayb - 11/5/2012 10:27:28 PM Real Clear Politics has Obama leading in 10 of their 12 battleground states. Romney leads in Florida and North Carolina. 44963. judithathome - 11/6/2012 12:03:03 AM We voted early, thank god...be interested to know how long it takes people here to vote if they waited until tomorrow to (try to) cast their votes. 44964. concerned - 11/6/2012 1:11:01 AM Final Gallup Poll R: 50%, 0: 49% 'allocated' 44965. robertjayb - 11/6/2012 1:16:32 AM WaPo/ABC poll: Obama 50, Romney 47...
Heading into Election Day, likely voters divide 50 percent for President Obama and 47 percent for his challenger, Republican Mitt Romney, according to the latest, final weekend release of the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll.
44966. concerned - 11/6/2012 1:35:50 AM Rasmussen, Monday, November 5th: R: 49%, 0: 48% 44967. concerned - 11/6/2012 1:40:13 AM WaPo/ABC voter breakdown for their last poll: D: 35%, R: 29%, I: 32% 44968. concerned - 11/6/2012 2:05:14 AM In other significant events, the Million Muppet March wound down after Washington DC briefly seethed with sock puppets chanting "El-Mo, we won't go!" "Don't take the Cookie Monster off of Food Stamps." an itinerant Big Bird pleaded while Kermit the Frog proved there were no flies on him by eating them off of Democrat politicans that vote for public funding of PBS. 44969. iiibbb - 11/6/2012 2:24:52 AM Polls are not useful all by themselves. Particularly national poles.
538 44970. winstonsmith - 11/6/2012 5:05:59 AM 538 now predicts that Obama has a 91.4% chance of winning and will likely get 314 electoral votes. Nate Silver will either look like a genius or goofball tomorrow. 44971. arkymalarky - 11/6/2012 5:24:31 AM 91+% is still not 100. If his model is flawed or if Romney beats the odds and there's nothing wrong with the model itself, anyone at this point could look at the flood of polls and conclude the same. The pollsters are who will need the scrutiny if Romney wins. 44972. arkymalarky - 11/6/2012 5:28:25 AM If Sillver said anything from 51-99 he'd be right or wrong, but the impressive thing in '08 was that he was right wrt the states--49 of 50. 44973. arkymalarky - 11/6/2012 5:31:25 AM Iow, silver analyzes existing data. He doesn't collect it. Based on current polls and other factors (he's very open and frank about his methodology), those are Romneys odds. 44974. arkymalarky - 11/6/2012 5:38:25 AM Does Tom Brokaw get on anyone's last nerve besides mine? 44975. winstonsmith - 11/6/2012 5:50:02 AM Even though Silver is just working with the data provided by the pollsters, he has his own formula for weighting and interpreting the data. If he is way off on what states Obama wins and what the margins are, it will both call in to question the validity of the polling data and his method of processing it.
I like him and want him to turn out to be as accurate as he was in 2008. If for whatever reason he is way off, he will look bad.
Yes, Brokaw, last nerve. 44976. concerned - 11/6/2012 8:04:19 AM A number of people believe that Romney will carry both Pennsylvania and Ohio - there's a fair number of Democrat coal miners in Ohio and Pennsylvania who will be voting for Romney (guess why) and 0bama has been greatly outspent in Pennsylvania in the last few days.
Plus, I don't see how all the negative recent coverage over FEMA's response to Sandy will do 0bama's chances any good, regardless of Suet Pudding Christy licking his feet. 44977. concerned - 11/6/2012 8:11:20 AM 0bama: The 1930's called, and they want their economic policies back.
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